FAS 5-1 Santa Tecla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.95
No
60%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
61%
-15.0pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.6pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+9.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.0pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FAS EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Tecla EU Bookmakers 20%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.44/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.70
-15% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
407 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FAS
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Santa Tecla
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.01.2024 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 3-1 HT 2-1 FAS FAS ELSAL
29.10.2023 FAS FAS 2-1 HT 2-0 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
03.09.2023 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 0-2 HT 0-1 FAS FAS ELSAL
23.04.2023 FAS FAS 2-1 HT 1-0 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
26.02.2023 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 0-0 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
10.04.2022 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 1-1 HT 0-1 FAS FAS ELSAL
POST-MATCH FAS vs Santa Tecla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FAS swept aside Santa Tecla 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FAS as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FAS had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FAS and 1.00 for Santa Tecla.

What was the final score of FAS vs Santa Tecla?

FAS 5-1 Santa Tecla in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FAS vs Santa Tecla?

Before kick-off our model rated a FAS win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FAS 46%, draw 28%, Santa Tecla 26%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FAS) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FAS) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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