Alianza 1-0 Luis Angel Firpo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.86
Over 2.5
39%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.73
No
59%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.0pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.4pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
50%
+10.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
50%
-10.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
54%
-12.4pp
59%
BTTS No
46%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 29%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +13%
1.98/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.14
+48% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
61% Ball Possession 39%
24 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
29.01.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-3 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
22.11.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
24.08.2023 Alianza Alianza 1-1 HT 1-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
24.04.2023 Alianza Alianza 2-1 HT 2-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
27.02.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
14.07.2022 Alianza Alianza 2-1 HT 0-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Luis Angel Firpo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza squeezed past Luis Angel Firpo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alianza and 0.83 for Luis Angel Firpo.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Alianza 1-0 Luis Angel Firpo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Alianza 44%, draw 23%, Luis Angel Firpo 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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