Luis Angel Firpo 1-3 Alianza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 29 Jan 2024

Luis Angel Firpo
1-3 HT 0-1
Alianza
📅29/01/2024 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Luis Angel Firpo vs Alianza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+0.3pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.6pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-3.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.0pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Luis Angel Firpo v Alianza — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza EU Bookmakers 49%
+10% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -2%
1.30/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.00
+15% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
219 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9

Luis Angel Firpo vs Alianza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luis Angel Firpo
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Alianza
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
22.11.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
24.08.2023 Alianza Alianza 1-1 HT 1-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
24.04.2023 Alianza Alianza 2-1 HT 2-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
27.02.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
14.07.2022 Alianza Alianza 2-1 HT 0-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
16.05.2022 Alianza Alianza 2-1 HT 1-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
POST-MATCH Luis Angel Firpo vs Alianza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza got the better of Luis Angel Firpo 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Luis Angel Firpo and 1.33 for Alianza.

What was the final score of Luis Angel Firpo vs Alianza?

Luis Angel Firpo 1-3 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luis Angel Firpo vs Alianza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Luis Angel Firpo 27%, draw 32%, Alianza 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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