Aguila 1-0 Municipal Limeno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.68
Over 2.5
35%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-8.9pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.9pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.2pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 27%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +2%
1.38/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.25
-5% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Municipal Limeno
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
30.10.2023 Aguila Aguila 1-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
03.09.2023 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-0 HT 1-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
03.04.2022 Aguila Aguila 1-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
31.01.2022 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-3 HT 0-2 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
14.11.2021 Aguila Aguila 2-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
12.09.2021 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs Municipal Limeno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila edged past Municipal Limeno 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aguila as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aguila and 0.50 for Municipal Limeno.

What was the final score of Aguila vs Municipal Limeno?

Aguila 1-0 Municipal Limeno in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs Municipal Limeno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Aguila 41%, draw 33%, Municipal Limeno 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aguila) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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