Platense 0-1 Dragon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
42%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
44%
-10.4pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
43%
Away Win
29%
+13.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Platense EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Dragon EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
1.24/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.38
-8% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Platense
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Dragon
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
20.11.2023 Platense Platense 2-2 HT 0-2 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
25.09.2023 Dragon Dragon 4-2 HT 2-0 Platense Platense ELSAL
17.04.2023 Platense Platense 0-2 HT 0-2 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
20.02.2023 Dragon Dragon 0-2 HT 0-1 Platense Platense ELSAL
20.10.2022 Dragon Dragon 1-0 HT 1-0 Platense Platense ELSAL
POST-MATCH Platense vs Dragon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dragon squeezed past Platense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dragon as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Dragon led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Platense and 1.80 for Dragon.

What was the final score of Platense vs Dragon?

Platense 0-1 Dragon in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Platense vs Dragon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dragon win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Platense 34%, draw 24%, Dragon 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dragon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dragon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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