Santa Tecla 3-1 FAS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
51%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.82
Over 2.5
41%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.88
No
61%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
32%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
51%
Away Win
55%
-3.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
51%
+8.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
49%
-8.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-10.5pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Tecla EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY FAS EU Bookmakers 59%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.84/2.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.11
-17% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -22%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
197 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Tecla
0W-2D-4L
AWAY FAS
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 FAS FAS 2-1 HT 2-0 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
03.09.2023 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 0-2 HT 0-1 FAS FAS ELSAL
23.04.2023 FAS FAS 2-1 HT 1-0 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
26.02.2023 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 0-0 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
10.04.2022 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 1-1 HT 0-1 FAS FAS ELSAL
07.02.2022 FAS FAS 2-0 HT 1-0 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
POST-MATCH Santa Tecla vs FAS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Tecla saw off FAS 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was FAS at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FAS led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Santa Tecla and 1.50 for FAS.

What was the final score of Santa Tecla vs FAS?

Santa Tecla 3-1 FAS in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Tecla vs FAS?

Before kick-off our model rated an FAS win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Santa Tecla 23%, draw 26%, FAS 51%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FAS) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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