Isidro Metapan 2-1 Once Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
35%
3.11
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.5pp
35%
Draw
29%
+6.1pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Deportivo EU Bookmakers 33%
+6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.26/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.05
-1% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Isidro Metapan
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Once Deportivo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.10.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-0 HT 1-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
04.09.2023 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 2-0 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
19.05.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 1-0 HT 1-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
13.04.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-2 HT 0-1 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
06.02.2023 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 2-0 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
20.10.2022 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-1 HT 2-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
POST-MATCH Isidro Metapan vs Once Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Isidro Metapan squeezed past Once Deportivo 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 35% / 29%) promised a tight game; Isidro Metapan found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Isidro Metapan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Isidro Metapan and 1.17 for Once Deportivo.

What was the final score of Isidro Metapan vs Once Deportivo?

Isidro Metapan 2-1 Once Deportivo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Isidro Metapan vs Once Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Isidro Metapan win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Isidro Metapan 36%, draw 35%, Once Deportivo 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Isidro Metapan), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Isidro Metapan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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28 Jan 2024
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