Municipal Limeno 0-2 Aguila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 25 Nov 2024

📅25/11/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.78
Over 2.5
39%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.9pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguila EU Bookmakers 43%
+9% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -5%
1.54/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.93
+28% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
233 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Limeno
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Aguila
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
19.09.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
07.04.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
29.01.2024 Aguila Aguila 1-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
30.10.2023 Aguila Aguila 1-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
03.09.2023 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-0 HT 1-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
03.04.2022 Aguila Aguila 1-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
POST-MATCH Municipal Limeno vs Aguila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila saw off Municipal Limeno 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Aguila found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Municipal Limeno and 1.17 for Aguila.

What was the final score of Municipal Limeno vs Aguila?

Municipal Limeno 0-2 Aguila in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Limeno vs Aguila?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Municipal Limeno 35%, draw 30%, Aguila 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aguila) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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