Aguila 3-1 Municipal Limeno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 19 Sep 2024

Aguila
3-1 HT 1-0
Municipal Limeno
📅19/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Aguila vs Municipal Limeno Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-8.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.8pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aguila v Municipal Limeno — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +8%
2.03/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.69
+24% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.3

Aguila vs Municipal Limeno Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Municipal Limeno
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
07.04.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
29.01.2024 Aguila Aguila 1-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
30.10.2023 Aguila Aguila 1-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
03.09.2023 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-0 HT 1-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
03.04.2022 Aguila Aguila 1-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
31.01.2022 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-3 HT 0-2 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs Municipal Limeno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila got the better of Municipal Limeno 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aguila as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aguila and 0.17 for Municipal Limeno.

What was the final score of Aguila vs Municipal Limeno?

Aguila 3-1 Municipal Limeno in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs Municipal Limeno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Aguila 50%, draw 26%, Municipal Limeno 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aguila) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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