Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 Isidro Metapan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 10 Mar 2025

📅10/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.5
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
23%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-1.4pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.5pp
44%
Away Win
44%
-0.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 48%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.09/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.26
+0% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -26%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
265 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuerte San Francisco
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Isidro Metapan
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
28.09.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-2 HT 0-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
29.07.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-3 HT 0-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
01.04.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
21.01.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-0 HT 2-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
12.11.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-1 HT 0-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
17.09.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-0 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
POST-MATCH Fuerte San Francisco vs Isidro Metapan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Isidro Metapan edged past Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Isidro Metapan as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Isidro Metapan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Fuerte San Francisco and 1.17 for Isidro Metapan.

What was the final score of Fuerte San Francisco vs Isidro Metapan?

Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 Isidro Metapan in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuerte San Francisco vs Isidro Metapan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Isidro Metapan win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fuerte San Francisco 24%, draw 33%, Isidro Metapan 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Isidro Metapan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Isidro Metapan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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