Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 Isidro Metapan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 8 Sep 2025

📅08/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.69
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.09
No
48%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
24%
-1.4pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.1pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.4pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 51%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.88/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.34
-18% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -38%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuerte San Francisco
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Isidro Metapan
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
04.05.2025 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-1 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
10.03.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
28.09.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-2 HT 0-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
29.07.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-3 HT 0-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
01.04.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
21.01.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-0 HT 2-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
POST-MATCH Fuerte San Francisco vs Isidro Metapan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fuerte San Francisco edged past Isidro Metapan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Isidro Metapan at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Isidro Metapan led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Fuerte San Francisco and 1.17 for Isidro Metapan.

What was the final score of Fuerte San Francisco vs Isidro Metapan?

Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 Isidro Metapan in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 08/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuerte San Francisco vs Isidro Metapan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Isidro Metapan win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fuerte San Francisco 22%, draw 32%, Isidro Metapan 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Isidro Metapan), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Isidro Metapan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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