Lucky Mile 1-3 Citizen AA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.4
Draw
17%
4.95
Away
66%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.39
No
38%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
15%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
14%
+2.9pp
17%
Draw
16%
+0.6pp
66%
Away Win
69%
-3.4pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.7pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lucky Mile EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Citizen AA EU Bookmakers 75%
+72% / +72% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -15%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.90/1.55
+103% / +133% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -38%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
266 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lucky Mile
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Citizen AA
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
30.11.2025 Citizen AA Citizen AA 3-1 HT 1-0 Lucky Mile Lucky Mile HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lucky Mile
1-3
AWAY Citizen AA
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lucky Mile vs Citizen AA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Citizen AA saw off Lucky Mile 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Citizen AA as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lucky Mile had 33% of the ball to Citizen AA's 67%, shots finished 9-18.

What was the final score of Lucky Mile vs Citizen AA?

Lucky Mile 1-3 Citizen AA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lucky Mile vs Citizen AA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Citizen AA win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Lucky Mile 17%, draw 17%, Citizen AA 66%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Citizen AA), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Citizen AA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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