South China vs Sham Shui Po Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
South China v Sham Shui Po — Team-Based Signals
South China vs Sham Shui Po Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
South China 3-4 Sham Shui Po — Actual Match Statistics
Sham Shui Po edged past South China 4-3 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had South China at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, South China had 50% of the ball to Sham Shui Po's 50%, shots finished 19-16.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for South China and 0.67 for Sham Shui Po.
What was the final score of South China vs Sham Shui Po?
South China 3-4 Sham Shui Po in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for South China vs Sham Shui Po?
Before kick-off our model rated a South China win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split South China 61%, draw 22%, Sham Shui Po 18%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.