Sham Shui Po vs South China Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sham Shui Po v South China — Team-Based Signals
Sham Shui Po vs South China Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Sham Shui Po 1-0 South China — Actual Match Statistics
Sham Shui Po squeezed past South China 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had South China at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sham Shui Po had 38% of the ball to South China's 62%, shots finished 12-9.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, South China led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sham Shui Po and 2.50 for South China.
What was the final score of Sham Shui Po vs South China?
Sham Shui Po 1-0 South China in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sham Shui Po vs South China?
Before kick-off our model rated an South China win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Sham Shui Po 15%, draw 21%, South China 64%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.