Metro Gallery 3-2 Yuen Long — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.78
Away
13%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
No
34%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
82%
-12.7pp
18%
Draw
10%
+7.7pp
13%
Away Win
8%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metro Gallery EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Yuen Long EU Bookmakers 11%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
4.78/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/1.50
+49% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +114%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
473 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metro Gallery
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Yuen Long
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
18.12.2022 Yuen Long Yuen Long 1-1 Metro Gallery Metro Gallery HK2
05.12.2021 Yuen Long Yuen Long 5-0 HT 0-0 Metro Gallery Metro Gallery HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metro Gallery
3-2
AWAY Yuen Long
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Metro Gallery vs Yuen Long
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metro Gallery squeezed past Yuen Long 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Metro Gallery as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Metro Gallery had 67% of the ball to Yuen Long's 33%, shots finished 16-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Yuen Long led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Metro Gallery and 3.00 for Yuen Long.

What was the final score of Metro Gallery vs Yuen Long?

Metro Gallery 3-2 Yuen Long in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metro Gallery vs Yuen Long?

Before kick-off our model rated a Metro Gallery win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Metro Gallery 69%, draw 18%, Yuen Long 13%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metro Gallery), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Metro Gallery) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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