PEC Zwolle (K) 4-1 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.18
Draw
14%
5.71
Away
19%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
79%
-11.8pp
14%
Draw
14%
+0.1pp
19%
Away Win
8%
+11.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.4pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PEC Zwolle (K) EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
2.94/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/2.71
-3% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +10%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses 10.5
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PEC Zwolle (K)
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
437 Passes 199
81% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.10.2025 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 PEC Zwolle (K) PEC Zwolle (K) HOLK1
01.03.2025 PEC Zwolle (K) PEC Zwolle (K) 2-2 HT 1-0 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) HOLK1
16.11.2024 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 0-3 HT 0-3 PEC Zwolle (K) PEC Zwolle (K) HOLK1
30.03.2024 PEC Zwolle (K) PEC Zwolle (K) 3-1 HT 1-1 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PEC Zwolle (K)
4-1
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
62% Ball Possession 38%
26 Total Shots 4
14 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 2
420 Passes 207
82% Pass Accuracy 66%
19 Crosses 8
POST-MATCH PEC Zwolle (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PEC Zwolle (K) ran out comfortable winners over Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had PEC Zwolle (K) as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, PEC Zwolle (K) had 62% of the ball to Excelsior Barendrecht (K)'s 38%, shots finished 26-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, PEC Zwolle (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for PEC Zwolle (K) and 0.75 for Excelsior Barendrecht (K).

What was the final score of PEC Zwolle (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)?

PEC Zwolle (K) 4-1 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PEC Zwolle (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a PEC Zwolle (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split PEC Zwolle (K) 67%, draw 14%, Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PEC Zwolle (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PEC Zwolle (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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