Naft Maysan 2-2 Al Shorta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.65
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
54%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+4.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
54%
Away Win
58%
-3.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft Maysan EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shorta EU Bookmakers 62%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
0.45/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.67
-52% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naft Maysan
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Shorta
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
27.01.2026 Al Shorta Al Shorta 2-1 HT 2-0 Naft Maysan Naft Maysan IRAK
13.03.2025 Naft Maysan Naft Maysan 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Shorta Al Shorta IRAK
POST-MATCH Naft Maysan vs Al Shorta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft Maysan and Al Shorta couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Shorta at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Shorta led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Naft Maysan and 3.00 for Al Shorta.

What was the final score of Naft Maysan vs Al Shorta?

Naft Maysan 2-2 Al Shorta in the Iraq - Premier League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft Maysan vs Al Shorta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shorta win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Naft Maysan 23%, draw 23%, Al Shorta 54%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Shorta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Shorta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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