Baghdad 2-2 Al Zawraa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
5.34
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
60%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
4%
X/2
26%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
16%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.0pp
60%
Away Win
61%
-1.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baghdad EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Zawraa EU Bookmakers 66%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.27/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.97
+74% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -26%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
204 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baghdad
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Zawraa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
21.03.2026 Al Zawraa Al Zawraa 3-2 HT 3-1 Baghdad Baghdad IRAK
POST-MATCH Baghdad vs Al Zawraa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baghdad and Al Zawraa shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Zawraa at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Baghdad vs Al Zawraa?

Baghdad 2-2 Al Zawraa in the Iraq - Premier League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baghdad vs Al Zawraa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Zawraa win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Baghdad 14%, draw 26%, Al Zawraa 60%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Zawraa) ✗ Under 2.5
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