Olimpia Grudziadz 2-4 Warta Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-0.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.8pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.0pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 30%
-10% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.48/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.09
-3% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +38%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Warta Poznan
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.10.2025 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 3-2 HT 1-1 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
29.09.2021 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 2-0 HT 0-0 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POLK
06.06.2020 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 2-0 HT 0-0 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL1
31.08.2019 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 2-1 HT 1-0 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL1
10.07.2019 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 2-0 HT 0-0 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz
2-4
AWAY Warta Poznan
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Olimpia Grudziadz vs Warta Poznan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warta Poznan got the better of Olimpia Grudziadz 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Olimpia Grudziadz at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Olimpia Grudziadz had 61% of the ball to Warta Poznan's 39%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Olimpia Grudziadz had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Olimpia Grudziadz and 1.20 for Warta Poznan.

What was the final score of Olimpia Grudziadz vs Warta Poznan?

Olimpia Grudziadz 2-4 Warta Poznan in the Poland - 2nd Division on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpia Grudziadz vs Warta Poznan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpia Grudziadz win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Olimpia Grudziadz 46%, draw 23%, Warta Poznan 31%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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