OFK Beograd 1-1 Radnik Surdulica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.7pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.7pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.5pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFK Beograd EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnik Surdulica EU Bookmakers 31%
-7% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.29/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.38
-2% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 72%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
19.0 Crosses 16.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFK Beograd
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Radnik Surdulica
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.78 xG 0.85
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
318 Passes 176
78% Pass Accuracy 60%
20 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.04.2026 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 0-0 HT 0-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
08.11.2025 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 1-0 HT 0-0 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFK Beograd
1-1
AWAY Radnik Surdulica
1.23 xG 1.65
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
335 Passes 190
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH OFK Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFK Beograd and Radnik Surdulica couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was OFK Beograd at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, OFK Beograd had 60% of the ball to Radnik Surdulica's 40%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 1.23 to 1.65.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Radnik Surdulica led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for OFK Beograd and 0.50 for Radnik Surdulica.

What was the final score of OFK Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica?

OFK Beograd 1-1 Radnik Surdulica in the Serbia - Super League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFK Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica?

Before kick-off our model rated a OFK Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split OFK Beograd 47%, draw 23%, Radnik Surdulica 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (OFK Beograd), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (OFK Beograd) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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