Kanchanaburi 1-3 Buriram United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.34
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
64%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
37%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
16%
+1.4pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.0pp
64%
Away Win
64%
-0.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.7pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kanchanaburi EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Buriram United EU Bookmakers 69%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -7%
1.17/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.84
+63% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +6%
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
258 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 83%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
26.4 Crosses 22.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kanchanaburi
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Buriram United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 11
06.12.2025 Buriram United Buriram United 3-1 HT 0-0 Kanchanaburi Kanchanaburi TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kanchanaburi
1-3
AWAY Buriram United
0.38 xG 1.61
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
222 Passes 308
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kanchanaburi vs Buriram United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buriram United got the better of Kanchanaburi 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Buriram United as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Kanchanaburi had 43% of the ball to Buriram United's 57%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.38 to 1.61.

What was the final score of Kanchanaburi vs Buriram United?

Kanchanaburi 1-3 Buriram United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kanchanaburi vs Buriram United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Kanchanaburi 17%, draw 19%, Buriram United 64%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buriram United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Buriram United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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