Rayong FC 1-1 Lamphun Warrior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayong FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lamphun Warrior EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.41/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.08
+20% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
218 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 74%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
21.7 Crosses 14.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayong FC
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Lamphun Warrior
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
1.42 xG 1.61
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
256 Passes 227
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2025 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 2-2 HT 1-0 Rayong FC TAY
17.02.2025 Rayong FC 2-3 HT 1-2 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY
29.09.2024 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 4-1 HT 2-1 Rayong FC TAY
02.04.2022 Rayong FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY1
17.11.2021 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 2-0 HT 0-0 Rayong FC TAY1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayong FC
1-1
AWAY Lamphun Warrior
2.18 xG 0.60
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
313 Passes 198
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
36 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rayong FC vs Lamphun Warrior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayong FC and Lamphun Warrior couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Rayong FC had 59% of the ball to Lamphun Warrior's 41%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.18 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lamphun Warrior led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rayong FC and 2.40 for Lamphun Warrior.

What was the final score of Rayong FC vs Lamphun Warrior?

Rayong FC 1-1 Lamphun Warrior in the Thailand - 1st Division on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayong FC vs Lamphun Warrior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayong FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rayong FC 40%, draw 26%, Lamphun Warrior 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rayong FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rayong FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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TAY More Thailand - 1st Division
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