Dalian Zhixing 2-2 Chongqing Tongliang Long — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.84
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.17
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
11%
5.8
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
19%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
32%
-4.9pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.5pp
41%
Away Win
37%
+4.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.5pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 40%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.84/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/0.51
-9% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
20.0 Crosses 23.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dalian Zhixing
2-2
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long
1.18 xG 1.92
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 4
192 Passes 285
67% Pass Accuracy 75%
11 Box Touches 22
8 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dalian Zhixing vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dalian Zhixing and Chongqing Tongliang Long couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Chongqing Tongliang Long at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dalian Zhixing had 43% of the ball to Chongqing Tongliang Long's 57%, shots finished 4-21, expected goals 1.18 to 1.92.

What was the final score of Dalian Zhixing vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Dalian Zhixing 2-2 Chongqing Tongliang Long in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dalian Zhixing vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dalian Zhixing 27%, draw 32%, Chongqing Tongliang Long 41%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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