Foshan Nanshi 4-4 Foshan Nanshi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
30%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.64
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.44
6+ Goals
7%
23.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.64 — our 37% vs market 31.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
55%
-7.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.3pp
31%
Away Win
18%
+12.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.1pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +12%
0.85/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.17
-10% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 74%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
14.8 Crosses 14.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foshan Nanshi
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.78 xG 0.95
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
236 Passes 271
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-0 HT 0-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
16.07.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 2-2 HT 0-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Foshan Nanshi vs Foshan Nanshi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foshan Nanshi and Foshan Nanshi couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. It was 3-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Foshan Nanshi at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Foshan Nanshi had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Foshan Nanshi and 1.00 for Foshan Nanshi.

What was the final score of Foshan Nanshi vs Foshan Nanshi?

Foshan Nanshi 4-4 Foshan Nanshi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foshan Nanshi vs Foshan Nanshi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Foshan Nanshi win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Foshan Nanshi 47%, draw 23%, Foshan Nanshi 31%. The final score 4-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Foshan Nanshi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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