Ross County 4-0 Raith Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
34%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.23
6+ Goals
10%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 30% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.46
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
14%
4.45
X/2
11%
8.37
X/X
10%
4.9
2/1
8%
23.6
2/2
15%
6.01
2/X
9%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-9.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
34%
Away Win
24%
+9.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.1pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ross County EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 28%
+7% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +9%
1.41/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.10
-17% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +39%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
243 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 204 · 63%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
Crosses 14.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ross County
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Raith Rovers
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
286 Passes 222
66% Pass Accuracy 61%
28 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
23.05.2024 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-2 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKCL
08.09.2018 Ross County Ross County 5-0 HT 5-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCK
23.07.2016 Ross County Ross County 4-5 HT 0-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKLK
28.08.2012 Ross County Ross County 1-4 HT 0-2 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKLK
31.03.2012 Ross County Ross County 1-1 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
11.02.2012 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-1 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ross County
4-0
AWAY Raith Rovers
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
237 Passes 346
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ross County vs Raith Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ross County ran out comfortable winners over Raith Rovers 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ross County as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ross County had 43% of the ball to Raith Rovers's 57%, shots finished 12-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Ross County and 2.00 for Raith Rovers.

What was the final score of Ross County vs Raith Rovers?

Ross County 4-0 Raith Rovers in the Scotland - Championship on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ross County vs Raith Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ross County win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ross County 41%, draw 25%, Raith Rovers 34%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ross County), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ross County) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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