Österlen 2-1 Hogaborgs BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.7pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.6pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.6pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Österlen EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hogaborgs BK EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
1.78/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.00
-15% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -51%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Österlen vs Hogaborgs BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Österlen nicked a narrow win over Hogaborgs BK 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Österlen as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Österlen vs Hogaborgs BK?

Österlen 2-1 Hogaborgs BK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Österlen vs Hogaborgs BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Österlen win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Österlen 46%, draw 29%, Hogaborgs BK 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Österlen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Österlen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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