Lucksta 2-4 Bergnäsets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.49
No
51%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
23%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
63%
-14.5pp
51%
BTTS No
37%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lucksta EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Bergnäsets EU Bookmakers 48%
+57% / +57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
4.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.93
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +60%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lucksta
2-4
AWAY Bergnäsets
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Lucksta vs Bergnäsets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bergnäsets saw off Lucksta 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bergnäsets as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Lucksta had 52% of the ball to Bergnäsets's 48%, shots finished 19-9.

What was the final score of Lucksta vs Bergnäsets?

Lucksta 2-4 Bergnäsets in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lucksta vs Bergnäsets?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bergnäsets win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lucksta 34%, draw 24%, Bergnäsets 42%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bergnäsets), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bergnäsets) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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