CA Sarmiento 0-1 Independiente Rivadavia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.41
Over 2.5
38%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.0
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
17%
6.61
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.36
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.9
X/1
17%
4.44
X/2
11%
6.41
X/X
15%
3.27
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
13%
5.61
2/X
8%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.1pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.4pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
67%
-5.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
33%
+5.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.7pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+5% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.8 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Sarmiento
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
06.10.2014 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 0-2 HT 0-1 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Sarmiento
0-1
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia
0.54 xG 0.59
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
153 Passes 207
61% Pass Accuracy 65%
15 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CA Sarmiento vs Independiente Rivadavia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Rivadavia edged past CA Sarmiento 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Independiente Rivadavia made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, CA Sarmiento had 44% of the ball to Independiente Rivadavia's 56%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.54 to 0.59.

What was the final score of CA Sarmiento vs Independiente Rivadavia?

CA Sarmiento 0-1 Independiente Rivadavia in the Argentina - Premier League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Sarmiento vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Sarmiento win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split CA Sarmiento 40%, draw 31%, Independiente Rivadavia 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CA Sarmiento) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CA Sarmiento) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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