Gimnasia La Plata 3-0 Banfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒23:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.73
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.42
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.8
X/1
14%
3.94
X/2
10%
9.0
X/X
14%
4.0
2/1
10%
29.0
2/2
14%
7.74
2/X
6%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+9.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.8pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Banfield EU Bookmakers 23%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.60/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.20
+5% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 70%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
24.5 Crosses 17.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Banfield
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.01 xG 1.66
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
223 Passes 238
68% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.04.2024 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-2 HT 1-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
26.11.2023 Banfield Banfield 2-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
12.02.2023 Banfield Banfield 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
09.10.2022 Banfield Banfield 0-2 HT 0-2 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
22.02.2022 Banfield Banfield 4-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
07.11.2021 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 0-1 HT 0-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
3-0
AWAY Banfield
2.36 xG 0.37
54% Ball Possession 46%
23 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
283 Passes 201
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
38 Box Touches 15
31 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gimnasia La Plata vs Banfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia La Plata swept aside Banfield 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gimnasia La Plata as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Gimnasia La Plata had 54% of the ball to Banfield's 46%, shots finished 23-11, expected goals 2.36 to 0.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Banfield led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gimnasia La Plata and 1.50 for Banfield.

What was the final score of Gimnasia La Plata vs Banfield?

Gimnasia La Plata 3-0 Banfield in the Argentina - Premier League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia La Plata vs Banfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia La Plata win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia La Plata 44%, draw 27%, Banfield 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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