Ituano vs Ponte Preta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ituano v Ponte Preta — Team-Based Signals
Ituano vs Ponte Preta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Ituano
BR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Ponte Preta
BR2
1-1
HT 1-1
Ituano
BR2
1-2
HT 1-2
Ponte Preta
BR2
2-2
HT 1-1
Ituano
BREPAU
2-1
HT 1-1
Ponte Preta
BREPAU
Ituano 2-0 Ponte Preta — Actual Match Statistics
Ituano got the better of Ponte Preta 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Ituano found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Ituano had 36% of the ball to Ponte Preta's 64%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.19 to 0.78.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ponte Preta led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ituano and 1.17 for Ponte Preta.
What was the final score of Ituano vs Ponte Preta?
Ituano 2-0 Ponte Preta in the Brazil - Serie B on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ituano vs Ponte Preta?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ituano win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ituano 37%, draw 30%, Ponte Preta 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ituano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.