Vila Nova vs Brusque Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vila Nova v Brusque — Team-Based Signals
Vila Nova vs Brusque Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Vila Nova
BR2
0-2
HT 0-0
Brusque
BR2
2-3
HT 1-2
Vila Nova
BR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Brusque
BR2
Vila Nova 2-2 Brusque — Actual Match Statistics
Vila Nova and Brusque shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Vila Nova at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Vila Nova had 62% of the ball to Brusque's 38%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.41 to 0.71.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vila Nova and 1.25 for Brusque.
What was the final score of Vila Nova vs Brusque?
Vila Nova 2-2 Brusque in the Brazil - Serie B on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs Brusque?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Vila Nova 55%, draw 27%, Brusque 18%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.