KuPS Kuopio 4-1 EIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.35
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.53
6+ Goals
11%
13.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.63
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
22.3
X/1
16%
3.29
X/2
7%
17.1
X/X
10%
6.13
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
25.5
2/2
8%
15.1
2/X
6%
23.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 11% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
69%
-12.6pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.5pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.8pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY EIF EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.32/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/2.03
-5% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +52%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
364 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 83%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
17.8 Crosses 15.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Kuopio
1W-0D-0L
AWAY EIF
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.05.2022 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 5-1 HT 1-0 EIF EIF FİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Kuopio
4-1
AWAY EIF
2.66 xG 0.52
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
468 Passes 264
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH KuPS Kuopio vs EIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio cruised past EIF 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had KuPS Kuopio as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, KuPS Kuopio had 62% of the ball to EIF's 38%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.66 to 0.52.

What was the final score of KuPS Kuopio vs EIF?

KuPS Kuopio 4-1 EIF in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Kuopio vs EIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split KuPS Kuopio 56%, draw 24%, EIF 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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