Daegu 1-2 Gangwon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
35%
3.04
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.94
6+ Goals
9%
17.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 32% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.28
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.3
X/1
16%
5.08
X/2
10%
6.51
X/X
22%
4.03
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
10%
4.68
2/X
6%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.7pp
35%
Draw
29%
+5.3pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daegu EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gangwon EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +7%
1.17/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.25
-16% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
16.4 Crosses 13.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daegu
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gangwon
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.63 xG 0.49
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
271 Passes 393
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
03.04.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 3-0 HT 1-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
01.09.2023 Daegu Daegu 1-0 HT 1-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
11.07.2023 Daegu Daegu 0-0 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
11.03.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 1-1 HT 1-1 Daegu Daegu GKOK
10.08.2022 Gangwon Gangwon 1-0 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
22.05.2022 Daegu Daegu 3-0 HT 1-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daegu
1-2
AWAY Gangwon
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
532 Passes 365
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Daegu vs Gangwon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangwon squeezed past Daegu 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 35% / 28%) promised a tight game; Gangwon found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Daegu had 55% of the ball to Gangwon's 45%, shots finished 6-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Daegu and 0.83 for Gangwon.

What was the final score of Daegu vs Gangwon?

Daegu 1-2 Gangwon in the South Kore - K League Classic on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daegu vs Gangwon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daegu win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Daegu 38%, draw 35%, Gangwon 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Daegu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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