Jeju United 1-0 Suwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 26 May 2024

Jeju United
1-0 HT 1-0
Suwon City
📅26/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Jeju United vs Suwon City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.7
2-3 Goals
45%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 26% vs market 21.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.52
1/2
5%
29.0
1/X
8%
11.7
X/1
12%
5.69
X/2
20%
6.14
X/X
11%
4.49
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
10%
3.93
2/X
7%
11.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jeju United v Suwon City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeju United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon City EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
1.29/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.99
-16% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +35%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
22.1 Crosses 15.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3

Jeju United vs Suwon City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeju United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Suwon City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.12 xG 1.59
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
368 Passes 379
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.04.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 2-1 HT 0-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
02.12.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 1-1 HT 0-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
12.08.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 3-0 HT 2-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
14.05.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 0-5 HT 0-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
26.02.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 0-0 HT 0-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
02.09.2022 Suwon City Suwon City 2-2 HT 1-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK

Jeju United 1-0 Suwon City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeju United
1-0
AWAY Suwon City
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
346 Passes 434
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Jeju United vs Suwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeju United squeezed past Suwon City 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Jeju United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Jeju United had 42% of the ball to Suwon City's 58%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeju United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Jeju United and 0.83 for Suwon City.

What was the final score of Jeju United vs Suwon City?

Jeju United 1-0 Suwon City in the South Kore - K League Classic on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeju United vs Suwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeju United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Jeju United 38%, draw 26%, Suwon City 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jeju United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jeju United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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