Utrecht 1-2 Go Ahead Eagles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 26 May 2024

Utrecht
1-2 HT 1-0
Go Ahead Eagles
📅26/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2023/2024

Utrecht vs Go Ahead Eagles Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.48
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.17
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.85
X/1
16%
4.23
X/2
14%
9.52
X/X
12%
5.69
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.25
2/2
8%
6.67
2/X
9%
14.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.25 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-9.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+6.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Utrecht v Go Ahead Eagles — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.80/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.58
-12% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +21%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
25.1 Crosses 17.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6

Utrecht vs Go Ahead Eagles Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.45 xG 1.21
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
358 Passes 334
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 28
22 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.04.2024 Utrecht Utrecht 2-1 HT 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
10.12.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-2 HT 0-2 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
18.03.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 1-2 HT 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
15.01.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 2-2 HT 1-2 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
05.03.2022 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 HT 1-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
11.12.2021 Utrecht Utrecht 0-0 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL

Utrecht 1-2 Go Ahead Eagles — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht
1-2
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
4.11 xG 2.41
41% Ball Possession 59%
22 Total Shots 31
8 Shots on Target 9
11 Corners 7
336 Passes 549
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
44 Box Touches 36
23 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Utrecht vs Go Ahead Eagles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Go Ahead Eagles nicked a narrow win over Utrecht 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Utrecht at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Utrecht had 41% of the ball to Go Ahead Eagles's 59%, shots finished 22-31, expected goals 4.11 to 2.41 — the balance of chances actually favoured Utrecht.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utrecht had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Utrecht and 1.00 for Go Ahead Eagles.

What was the final score of Utrecht vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Utrecht 1-2 Go Ahead Eagles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Utrecht 45%, draw 26%, Go Ahead Eagles 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Utrecht) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Utrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →