Utrecht 2-1 Go Ahead Eagles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 14 Apr 2024

Utrecht
2-1 HT 1-1
Go Ahead Eagles
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2023/2024

Utrecht vs Go Ahead Eagles Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.88
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
28%
3.17
6+ Goals
11%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.25
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.85
X/1
14%
4.18
X/2
14%
9.18
X/X
8%
5.25
2/1
8%
22.7
2/2
10%
6.75
2/X
8%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.3pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Utrecht v Go Ahead Eagles — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.80/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.58
-12% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 73%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
24.7 Crosses 17.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Utrecht vs Go Ahead Eagles Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.40 xG 1.19
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
376 Passes 320
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.12.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-2 HT 0-2 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
18.03.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 1-2 HT 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
15.01.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 2-2 HT 1-2 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
05.03.2022 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 HT 1-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
11.12.2021 Utrecht Utrecht 0-0 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
13.02.2020 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-4 HT 0-2 Utrecht Utrecht HOK

Utrecht 2-1 Go Ahead Eagles — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht
2-1
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
1.88 xG 0.95
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
312 Passes 327
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 34
26 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Utrecht vs Go Ahead Eagles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utrecht squeezed past Go Ahead Eagles 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Utrecht as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Utrecht had 50% of the ball to Go Ahead Eagles's 50%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.88 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utrecht had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Utrecht and 1.00 for Go Ahead Eagles.

What was the final score of Utrecht vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Utrecht 2-1 Go Ahead Eagles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Utrecht 49%, draw 22%, Go Ahead Eagles 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utrecht), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Utrecht) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL More Netherlands - Eredivisie
14 Apr 2024
13:15 Heracles vs Heerenveen Analysis →
15:30 Fortuna Sittard vs Feyenoord Analysis →
17:45 Ajax vs Twente Analysis →
21:00 NEC Nijmegen vs PEC Zwolle Analysis →