Fortuna Sittard 0-1 Feyenoord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 14 Apr 2024

Fortuna Sittard
0-1 HT 0-1
Feyenoord
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2023/2024

Fortuna Sittard vs Feyenoord Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.91
Draw
28%
4.49
Away
47%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
25%
2.86
6+ Goals
15%
8.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
11.55
1/2
7%
21.2
1/X
6%
19.8
X/1
12%
15.2
X/2
19%
3.57
X/X
15%
7.14
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
21%
1.65
2/X
7%
19.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
14%
+11.3pp
28%
Draw
19%
+8.8pp
47%
Away Win
67%
-20.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.5pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fortuna Sittard v Feyenoord — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Sittard EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 71%
-13% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
0.94/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/0.84
-43% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +17%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
265 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 81%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.9
16.5 Crosses 19.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3

Fortuna Sittard vs Feyenoord Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Sittard
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Feyenoord
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.76 xG 2.69
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
276 Passes 444
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 40
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
13.08.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
26.02.2023 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 2-4 HT 0-3 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
22.10.2022 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1-1 HT 0-1 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
01.05.2022 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 1-3 HT 0-2 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
05.12.2021 Feyenoord Feyenoord 5-0 HT 2-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
04.04.2021 Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL

Fortuna Sittard 0-1 Feyenoord — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Sittard
0-1
AWAY Feyenoord
0.60 xG 2.11
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
182 Passes 334
65% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 25
28 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fortuna Sittard vs Feyenoord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Feyenoord nicked a narrow win over Fortuna Sittard 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Feyenoord as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fortuna Sittard had 41% of the ball to Feyenoord's 59%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.60 to 2.11 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Feyenoord's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Feyenoord led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fortuna Sittard and 2.50 for Feyenoord.

What was the final score of Fortuna Sittard vs Feyenoord?

Fortuna Sittard 0-1 Feyenoord in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Sittard vs Feyenoord?

Before kick-off our model rated an Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Sittard 25%, draw 28%, Feyenoord 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Feyenoord) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Feyenoord) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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