Heracles 0-2 Heerenveen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 14 Apr 2024

Heracles
0-2 HT 0-1
Heerenveen
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2023/2024

Heracles vs Heerenveen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
42%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.32
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.98
6+ Goals
12%
8.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.63
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
7%
12.35
X/1
9%
5.89
X/2
12%
5.73
X/X
11%
5.13
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
26.0
2/2
22%
3.48
2/X
7%
12.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
41%
Away Win
37%
+4.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heracles v Heerenveen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heracles EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Heerenveen EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
1.45/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.48
+26% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
22.9 Crosses 18.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.1

Heracles vs Heerenveen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heracles
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Heerenveen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.00 xG 1.42
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
321 Passes 406
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Heerenveen Heerenveen 3-0 HT 2-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
18.03.2022 Heerenveen Heerenveen 2-0 HT 0-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
04.12.2021 Heracles Heracles 0-1 HT 0-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
23.01.2021 Heracles Heracles 1-0 HT 0-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
20.12.2020 Heerenveen Heerenveen 1-2 HT 0-1 Heracles Heracles HOL
21.12.2019 Heerenveen Heerenveen 1-1 HT 0-0 Heracles Heracles HOL

Heracles 0-2 Heerenveen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heracles
0-2
AWAY Heerenveen
1.30 xG 1.49
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 8
339 Passes 344
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
31 Box Touches 27
28 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Heracles vs Heerenveen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heerenveen got the better of Heracles 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Heerenveen as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Heracles had 50% of the ball to Heerenveen's 50%, shots finished 12-20, expected goals 1.30 to 1.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heerenveen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Heracles and 1.33 for Heerenveen.

What was the final score of Heracles vs Heerenveen?

Heracles 0-2 Heerenveen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heracles vs Heerenveen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Heerenveen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Heracles 33%, draw 25%, Heerenveen 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heerenveen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Heerenveen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL More Netherlands - Eredivisie
14 Apr 2024
15:30 Utrecht vs Go Ahead Eagles Analysis →
15:30 Fortuna Sittard vs Feyenoord Analysis →
17:45 Ajax vs Twente Analysis →
21:00 NEC Nijmegen vs PEC Zwolle Analysis →