Tottenham U21 3-1 Sunderland U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.61
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
36%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.31
No
39%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
58%
-14.4pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.3pp
36%
Away Win
24%
+12.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
72%
-11.0pp
39%
BTTS No
28%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tottenham U21 EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunderland U21 EU Bookmakers 28%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
2.25/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/1.56
+3% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +71% / +43%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
441 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
37.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.0 Crosses 11.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tottenham U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sunderland U21
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
29.08.2023 Tottenham U21 Tottenham U21 3-2 HT 2-1 Sunderland U21 Sunderland U21 İNPLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tottenham U21
3-1
AWAY Sunderland U21
2.27 xG 2.70
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
347 Passes 332
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tottenham U21 vs Sunderland U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tottenham U21 beat Sunderland U21 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tottenham U21 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tottenham U21 had 51% of the ball to Sunderland U21's 49%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 2.27 to 2.70 — on chances, Sunderland U21 could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Tottenham U21 vs Sunderland U21?

Tottenham U21 3-1 Sunderland U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tottenham U21 vs Sunderland U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tottenham U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tottenham U21 43%, draw 21%, Sunderland U21 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tottenham U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tottenham U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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