Ogre United 4-0 Valmiera II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 26 May 2024

Ogre United
4-0 HT 3-0
Valmiera II
📅26/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2024

Ogre United vs Valmiera II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
52%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+5.8pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.6pp
52%
Away Win
59%
-7.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.6pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ogre United v Valmiera II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ogre United EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Valmiera II EU Bookmakers 62%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.33/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/1.13
-64% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -17%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Ogre United vs Valmiera II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ogre United cruised past Valmiera II 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Our pre-match lean was Valmiera II at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Ogre United vs Valmiera II?

Ogre United 4-0 Valmiera II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ogre United vs Valmiera II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valmiera II win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Ogre United 25%, draw 24%, Valmiera II 52%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Valmiera II), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valmiera II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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