Super Nova 2-1 JFK Ventspils — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 26 May 2024

Super Nova
2-1 HT 1-0
JFK Ventspils
📅26/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2024

Super Nova vs JFK Ventspils Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.57
Draw
33%
3.94
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.03
Over 2.5
41%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
14%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
59%
-14.4pp
34%
Draw
22%
+11.6pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
45%
+13.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
55%
-13.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Super Nova v JFK Ventspils — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Super Nova EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY JFK Ventspils EU Bookmakers 22%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-2% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +102%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Super Nova vs JFK Ventspils
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Super Nova edged past JFK Ventspils 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Super Nova as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Super Nova vs JFK Ventspils?

Super Nova 2-1 JFK Ventspils in the Latvia - 1st Division on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Super Nova vs JFK Ventspils?

Before kick-off our model rated a Super Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Super Nova 45%, draw 34%, JFK Ventspils 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Super Nova), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Super Nova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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