Junkeren 3-4 Follo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 26 May 2024

Junkeren
3-4 HT 1-2
Follo
📅26/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Norway - 2nd Division – 2024

Junkeren vs Follo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.51
Over 2.5
48%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.43
No
49%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
5.44
2-3 Goals
40%
2.0
4-5 Goals
24%
2.67
6+ Goals
9%
6.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.44 — our 27% vs market 13.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
33%
-2.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+2.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
36%
+15.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
64%
-15.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
66%
-14.5pp
49%
BTTS No
34%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Junkeren v Follo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junkeren EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Follo EU Bookmakers 48%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.30/2.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-22% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +44%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Junkeren vs Follo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Follo edged past Junkeren 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Follo as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Junkeren vs Follo?

Junkeren 3-4 Follo in the Norway - 2nd Division on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junkeren vs Follo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Follo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Junkeren 31%, draw 24%, Follo 45%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Follo), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Follo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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