Sotra SK 2-1 Arendal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
22%
4.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.06
6+ Goals
13%
9.69
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 22% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-4.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.6pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sotra SK EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Arendal EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -3%
1.79/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.99
+0% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sotra SK
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Arendal
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.09.2022 Sotra SK Sotra SK 1-2 HT 1-1 Arendal Arendal NOR3
08.05.2022 Arendal Arendal 3-1 HT 1-1 Sotra SK Sotra SK NOR3
01.09.2021 Arendal Arendal 4-1 HT 2-0 Sotra SK Sotra SK NOR3
04.08.2021 Sotra SK Sotra SK 4-1 HT 1-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
06.09.2020 Sotra SK Sotra SK 2-1 HT 1-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
POST-MATCH Sotra SK vs Arendal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sotra SK nicked a narrow win over Arendal 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sotra SK as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Arendal led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Sotra SK and 2.20 for Arendal.

What was the final score of Sotra SK vs Arendal?

Sotra SK 2-1 Arendal in the Norway - 2nd Division on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sotra SK vs Arendal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sotra SK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sotra SK 42%, draw 28%, Arendal 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sotra SK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sotra SK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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