Fort Wayne 1-0 Toledo Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.22
Draw
15%
6.26
Away
8%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
2.89
Over 2.5
70%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
50%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
3%
X/X
4%
2/1
7%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
78%
-0.4pp
15%
Draw
13%
+1.8pp
8%
Away Win
9%
-1.5pp
30%
Under 2.5
31%
-1.4pp
70%
Over 2.5
69%
+1.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.1pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fort Wayne EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Toledo Villa EU Bookmakers 12%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/3.08
+4% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -14%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
445 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fort Wayne
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Toledo Villa
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
03.07.2023 Fort Wayne Fort Wayne 4-0 HT 3-0 Toledo Villa Toledo Villa USL2
28.05.2023 Toledo Villa Toledo Villa 1-2 HT 0-2 Fort Wayne Fort Wayne USL2
07.07.2022 Fort Wayne Fort Wayne 3-0 HT 3-0 Toledo Villa Toledo Villa USL2
POST-MATCH Fort Wayne vs Toledo Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fort Wayne squeezed past Toledo Villa 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fort Wayne as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (70%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fort Wayne had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Fort Wayne and 0.33 for Toledo Villa.

What was the final score of Fort Wayne vs Toledo Villa?

Fort Wayne 1-0 Toledo Villa in the USA - USL League 2 on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fort Wayne vs Toledo Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fort Wayne win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Fort Wayne 77%, draw 15%, Toledo Villa 8%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fort Wayne) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fort Wayne) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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