26/05/2024
·
02:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Miami AC vs Tampa Bay United Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
25%
Draw
27%
30%
Away Win
31%
61%
Under 2.5
54%
39%
Over 2.5
46%
36%
BTTS Yes
51%
64%
BTTS No
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Miami AC v Tampa Bay United — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Miami AC
EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Tampa Bay United
EU Bookmakers 34%
+21% /
+21%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+54% /
+54%
1.09/0.54
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
3.00/2.00
-38%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+105%
/
-12%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
12
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
373 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
306 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
7.0
Yellow Cards
1.0
POST-MATCH
Miami AC vs Tampa Bay United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Miami AC and Tampa Bay United shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Miami AC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.
What was the final score of Miami AC vs Tampa Bay United?
Miami AC 1-1 Tampa Bay United in the USA - USL League 2 on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Miami AC vs Tampa Bay United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Miami AC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Miami AC 45%, draw 25%, Tampa Bay United 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Miami AC), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Miami AC)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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USL2
More USA - USL League 2
26 May 2024