Miami AC 1-1 Tampa Bay United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.74
Over 2.5
39%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.82
No
64%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+2.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
54%
+7.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
46%
-7.2pp
36%
BTTS Yes
51%
-14.4pp
64%
BTTS No
49%
+14.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miami AC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Tampa Bay United EU Bookmakers 34%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +54% / +54%
1.09/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/2.00
-38% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +105% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
373 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
7.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Miami AC vs Tampa Bay United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miami AC and Tampa Bay United shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Miami AC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

What was the final score of Miami AC vs Tampa Bay United?

Miami AC 1-1 Tampa Bay United in the USA - USL League 2 on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miami AC vs Tampa Bay United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Miami AC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Miami AC 45%, draw 25%, Tampa Bay United 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Miami AC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Miami AC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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