Hammarby 1-0 Degerfors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 26 May 2025

Hammarby
1-0 HT 0-0
Degerfors
📅26/05/2025 · 🕒20:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

Hammarby vs Degerfors Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.12
2-3 Goals
40%
2.02
4-5 Goals
25%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
7.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.69
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X EV+ ✗
13%
17.25
X/1
13%
4.07
X/2
10%
14.45
X/X
8%
7.33
2/1
8%
20.15
2/2
5%
11.3
2/X
5%
19.65
Value flag · 1/X at 17.25 — our 13% vs market 3.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.2pp
26%
Draw
19%
+6.6pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hammarby v Degerfors — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Degerfors EU Bookmakers 18%
-4% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +1%
1.84/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.88
-2% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
427 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
33.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
24.1 Crosses 18.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Hammarby vs Degerfors Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Degerfors
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.97 xG 1.42
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
406 Passes 335
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.05.2023 Degerfors Degerfors 2-2 HT 0-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
02.04.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 3-1 HT 1-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
22.08.2022 Hammarby Hammarby 5-1 HT 2-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
21.04.2022 Degerfors Degerfors 0-1 HT 0-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
21.11.2021 Degerfors Degerfors 1-4 HT 0-2 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
11.07.2021 Hammarby Hammarby 5-1 HT 1-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ

Hammarby 1-0 Degerfors — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby
1-0
AWAY Degerfors
0.84 xG 0.84
70% Ball Possession 30%
13 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
613 Passes 211
90% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hammarby vs Degerfors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby edged past Degerfors 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hammarby as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hammarby had 70% of the ball to Degerfors's 30%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.84 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hammarby had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Hammarby and 1.00 for Degerfors.

What was the final score of Hammarby vs Degerfors?

Hammarby 1-0 Degerfors in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 26/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby vs Degerfors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Hammarby 54%, draw 26%, Degerfors 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammarby) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hammarby)
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