Norrköping 1-1 Mjallby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 26 May 2025

Norrköping
1-1 HT 0-1
Mjallby
📅26/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

Norrköping vs Mjallby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
46%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.84
2-3 Goals
42%
1.98
4-5 Goals
22%
2.9
6+ Goals
11%
7.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.57
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
21.05
1/X
9%
13.75
X/1
8%
8.23
X/2
18%
4.88
X/X
16%
5.8
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
19%
2.5
2/X
4%
12.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.05 — our 8% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
27%
-1.3pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.2pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.8pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Norrköping v Mjallby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norrköping EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjallby EU Bookmakers 54%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.01/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.36
+34% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
17.8 Crosses 17.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7

Norrköping vs Mjallby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norrköping
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Mjallby
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.45 xG 1.44
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
304 Passes 315
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.08.2024 Norrköping Norrköping 1-2 HT 0-2 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
06.04.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 3-0 HT 2-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
18.09.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 0-2 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
16.07.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 1-2 HT 0-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
10.10.2022 Norrköping Norrköping 2-2 HT 1-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
26.06.2022 Mjallby Mjallby 1-1 HT 0-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ

Norrköping 1-1 Mjallby — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norrköping
1-1
AWAY Mjallby
1.75 xG 1.47
42% Ball Possession 58%
17 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
283 Passes 413
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Norrköping vs Mjallby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norrköping and Mjallby couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mjallby at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Norrköping had 42% of the ball to Mjallby's 58%, shots finished 17-19, expected goals 1.75 to 1.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjallby led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Norrköping and 1.83 for Mjallby.

What was the final score of Norrköping vs Mjallby?

Norrköping 1-1 Mjallby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 26/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norrköping vs Mjallby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Norrköping 25%, draw 29%, Mjallby 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mjallby) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mjallby) ✓ BTTS Yes
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