Norrköping 1-2 Mjallby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 26 Aug 2024

Norrköping
1-2 HT 0-2
Mjallby
📅26/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Norrköping vs Mjallby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.91
Over 2.5
58%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.44
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.46
6+ Goals
12%
13.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.56
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
13%
5.4
X/2
11%
5.67
X/X
14%
4.71
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
28.0
2/2
15%
3.81
2/X
7%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 11% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
48%
-6.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
52%
+6.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.6pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Norrköping v Mjallby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norrköping EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjallby EU Bookmakers 39%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.43/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.18
+13% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
22.8 Crosses 16.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8

Norrköping vs Mjallby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norrköping
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Mjallby
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.40 xG 1.38
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
303 Passes 319
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.04.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 3-0 HT 2-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
18.09.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 0-2 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
16.07.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 1-2 HT 0-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
10.10.2022 Norrköping Norrköping 2-2 HT 1-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
26.06.2022 Mjallby Mjallby 1-1 HT 0-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
28.10.2021 Norrköping Norrköping 2-2 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ

Norrköping 1-2 Mjallby — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norrköping
1-2
AWAY Mjallby
2.38 xG 1.42
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
369 Passes 323
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Norrköping vs Mjallby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby nicked a narrow win over Norrköping 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Norrköping at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Norrköping had 54% of the ball to Mjallby's 46%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 2.38 to 1.42 — the balance of chances actually favoured Norrköping.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjallby led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Norrköping and 1.83 for Mjallby.

What was the final score of Norrköping vs Mjallby?

Norrköping 1-2 Mjallby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norrköping vs Mjallby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norrköping win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Norrköping 41%, draw 27%, Mjallby 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Norrköping) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Norrköping) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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