Grobina 1-1 Super Nova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 26 May 2025

Grobina
1-1 HT 1-0
Super Nova
📅26/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Latvia - Virsliga – 2025

Grobina vs Super Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
33%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
32%
+10.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-7.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.6pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Grobina v Super Nova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grobina EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Super Nova EU Bookmakers 45%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.15/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.96
+64% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
19.6 Crosses 24.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.7

Grobina vs Super Nova Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grobina
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Super Nova
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.63 xG 1.18
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
294 Passes 268
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.04.2025 Super Nova Super Nova 1-1 HT 1-1 Grobina Grobina LET

Grobina 1-1 Super Nova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grobina
1-1
AWAY Super Nova
0.37 xG 1.35
35% Ball Possession 65%
4 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
176 Passes 365
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
9 Box Touches 28
8 Crosses 40
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Grobina vs Super Nova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grobina and Super Nova couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Grobina at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Grobina had 35% of the ball to Super Nova's 65%, shots finished 4-18, expected goals 0.37 to 1.35.

What was the final score of Grobina vs Super Nova?

Grobina 1-1 Super Nova in the Latvia - Virsliga on 26/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grobina vs Super Nova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grobina win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Grobina 42%, draw 25%, Super Nova 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Grobina), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grobina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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