Aucas 3-1 Manta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 26 May 2026

Aucas
3 - 1 HT 2 - 1
Manta
📅26/05/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2026

Aucas vs Manta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
69%
1.43
Draw
20%
3.95
Away
11%
6.55
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.78
Over
47%
1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
46%
4-5
21%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Aucas v Manta — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Aucas The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Manta The Market 15%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
2.12 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.56
0.86 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.74
Strong Attack Strength Average
Bad Defense Strength Strong
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 73%
25 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3

Aucas vs Manta Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aucas
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Manta
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.83 xG 0.59
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
347 Passes 197
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
29 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.09.2025 Manta Manta 1-1 HT 0-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
17.05.2025 Aucas Aucas 1-1 HT 0-0 Manta Manta EKV1
23.08.2021 Aucas Aucas 3-0 HT 1-0 Manta Manta EKV1
21.03.2021 Manta Manta 1-1 HT 1-1 Aucas Aucas EKV1

Aucas 3-1 Manta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aucas
3 - 1
AWAY Manta
1.93 xG 0.28
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
535 Passes 212
34 Box Touches 7
20 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Aucas vs Manta
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Aucas put daylight between themselves and Manta 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aucas as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: possession split 66% to 34% in Aucas's favour, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.93 to 0.28.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Aucas had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Aucas against 0.75 for Manta.

Aucas vs Manta Result & Final Score

Aucas 3 - 1 Manta in the Ecuador - Premier on 26/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Aucas vs Manta Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Aucas 69%, draw 20%, Manta 11%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aucas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aucas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →